Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
| 72.01% ( | 17.19% ( | 10.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.61% ( | 40.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.24% ( | 62.76% ( |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.12% ( | 9.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.25% ( | 32.75% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.84% ( | 46.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.15% ( | 81.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
| 2-0 @ 12.21% ( 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 3-0 @ 9.43% ( 3-1 @ 7.29% ( 4-0 @ 5.45% ( 4-1 @ 4.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 5-0 @ 2.53% ( 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 6-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.51% Total : 71.99% | 1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 2-2 @ 3.65% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 17.19% | 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0-2 @ 1.36% ( 2-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.81% |