Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina3 - 0Juventus
FT(HT: 2-0)
We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Juventus
Fiorentina have not only scored the joint-most Serie A goals during the first 15 minutes this season (seven) but are also the only team yet to concede in the opening quarter-hour. The Viola could make another fast start against ailing Juventus - a club reviled by their fans following decades of one-way transfer dealings - but that might not prove enough to secure a much-needed win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Juventus |
38.71% ( 0.21) | 26.88% ( -0.09) | 34.4% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
