Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
0 - 4
Atalanta

Yildiz (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Retegui (29' pen.), de Roon (46'), Zappacosta (66'), Lookman (77')
Hien (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Hellas Verona
Monday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Venezia
Saturday, March 1 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Atalanta BC
38.02% ( -0.35)	26.37% ( -0.14)	35.61% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 52.92% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.18% (

0.62)

51.82% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.42% (

0.53)

73.58% (

-0.53)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45% (

0.09)

26.55% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.24% (

0.12)

61.75% (

-0.12)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05% (

0.6)

27.95% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.42% (

0.75)

63.58% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

Juventus 38.02%

Atalanta BC 35.61%

Draw 26.37%

Juventus	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.02%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.61%