/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fcellog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fluglog.png)
-
Tamar Svetlin
23'
-
Armandas Kucys
52'
-
Klemen Nemanic
90'+4'
-
Albian Hajdari
16'
-
Mattia Bottani
59'
-
Antonios Papadopoulos
90'+1'
Celje vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F33%2Fmattia-croci-torti.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
Result
Celje
43.67%
▲
(+0.21)
Draw
22.48%
▼
(-0.02)
Lugano
33.85%
▼
(-0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
66.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.06%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
33.94%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
44.2%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
55.8%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
25.62%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
74.38%
▼
(-0.03)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5
83.78%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
16.22%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
54.29%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
45.71%
▼
(-0.16)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5
79.46%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
20.54%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
46.94%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
53.06%
▲
(+0.13)
Score analysis
Celje
43.67%
Draw
22.48%
Lugano
33.85%
Celje
2-1
@
8.72%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 43.67%
1-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 43.67%
Draw
1-1
@
9.59%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.48%
2-2 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.48%
Lugano
1-2
@
7.59%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 33.85%
0-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 33.85%