Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Luzern

Lugano
2 - 0
Luzern

Cimignani (67'), Mahmoud (89')
Hajdari (82'), Saipi (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rrudhani (42'), Stankovic (70'), Dorn (87')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-1 Grasshopper
Saturday, February 8 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Luzern

All competitions
Last Game: Luzern 3-2 Winterthur
Sunday, February 9 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawLuzern
47.77% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)23.27% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)28.95% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.97% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.8% (0.035999999999994 0.04)40.2% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)62.57% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.72% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)47.28% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (0.047000000000011 0.05)26.46% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (0.061999999999998 0.06)61.64% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 47.77%
    Luzern 28.95%
    Draw 23.27%
LuganoDrawLuzern
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 47.77%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.0039999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 28.95%

Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Luzern
1-4
Lugano
Rrudhani (76')
Spadanuda (20'), Stankovic (34')
Grgic (35' pen.), Mahmoud (40'), Steffen (64' pen.), Bottani (90+8')
Croci-Torti (21'), Grgic (42'), Papadopoulos (49'), Hajdari (76')
Aug 11, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Lugano
2-3
Luzern
Mahou (3'), Vladi (43')
Papadopoulos (60'), Lukas Mai (70')
Dorn (12'), Klidje (75', 88')
Ottiger (55'), Dorn (61')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2024 1.15pm
Gameweek 26
Luzern
0-1
Lugano

Grbic (51'), Kadak (52'), Jasari (62'), Ulrich (90+2')
Vladi (40')
Vladi (34'), Valenzuela (58'), Sabbatini (74'), Lukas Mai (75')
Dec 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lugano
1-0
Luzern
Mahmoud (50')
Mahou (43'), Sabbatini (58'), Celar (90+3')

Frydek Jr (61')
Sep 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Luzern
3-2
Lugano
Meyer (19', 22' pen.), Villiger (74')
Dorn (3'), Beloko (64')
Beloko (76')
Espinoza (4'), Vladi (90+6')
Vladi (13'), Bislimi (33'), El Wafi (72'), Grgic (90+8')
Espinoza (71')