Luzern
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 23
Feb 9, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Sportplatz Chruzmatt
Winterthur

Luzern
3 - 2
Winterthur

Villiger (42', 80'), Spadanuda (89' pen.)
Lofgren (14')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pierre Louis Gomis (33'), Buess (75')
Schneider (61'), Ulrich (65'), Buess (87'), Kapino (88')
Schattin (38')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and FC Winterthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luzern

All competitions
Last Game: Basel 2-1 Luzern
Thursday, February 6 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

FC Winterthur

All competitions
Last Game: Winterthur 0-2 FC Zurich
Thursday, February 6 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 15.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.

Result
LuzernDrawFC Winterthur
65.24% (-0.137 -0.14)19.72% (0.061 0.06)15.03% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 52.48% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (-0.126 -0.13)41.7% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (-0.127 -0.13)64.1% (0.127 0.13)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.99% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)12% (0.074 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.55% (-0.16 -0.16)37.44% (0.16 0.16)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.63% (0.024000000000001 0.02)40.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)76.98% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Luzern 65.23%
    FC Winterthur 15.03%
    Draw 19.72%
LuzernDrawFC Winterthur
2-0 @ 10.88%
1-0 @ 10.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.08% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 65.23%
1-1 @ 9.32% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.72%
0-1 @ 4.39% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.23% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.99% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 15.03%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 18
Winterthur
3-4
Luzern
Baroan (26'), Di Giusto (34'), Burkart (41')
Baroan (72'), Baroan (75'), Kapino (90'), Durrer (90')
Klidje (3'), Rrudhani (28'), Ottiger (90+2'), Grbic (90+3')
Spadanuda (1'), Knezevic (48'), Rrudhani (90+5')
Aug 24, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 5
Luzern
3-0
Winterthur
Villiger (3', 51'), Karweina (77')
Beloko (89')

Lekaj (33'), Schneider (41'), Diaby (68'), Fofana (80'), Krasniqi (90+6'), Chiappetta (90+6')
Feb 11, 2024 1.15pm
Gameweek 23
Winterthur
2-1
Luzern
Ltaief (64'), Schattin (83')
Diaby (9'), Schattin (51')
Grbic (25' pen.)
Ottiger (50')
Ottiger (82')
Nov 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 15
Luzern
3-1
Winterthur
Chader (6'), Simani (85'), Abubakar (90')
Frydek Jr (13'), Ulrich (87'), Haas (90+6')
Schattin (66')
Arnold (74'), Stillhart (76'), Schneider (90+5'), Ramizi (90+6')
Jul 22, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Winterthur
0-0
Luzern
Sidler (23'), Ballet (25'), Diaby (44')
Beloko (4'), Okou (17'), Dorn (34')
> Preview