Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.