Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sion win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-0 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sion would win this match.