Winterthur
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Schutzenwiese
Basel

Winterthur
1 - 6
Basel

Schneider (90')
Frei (50')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Carlos (8'), Traore (25'), Shaqiri (33'), Baro (48'), Kapino (57'), Soticek (72')
Leon Barisic (45+1')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between FC Winterthur and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lausanne 2-0 Winterthur
Sunday, October 20 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Basel 2-1 St Gallen
Sunday, October 20 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 54.17%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
FC WinterthurDrawBasel
23.17% (0.094000000000001 0.09)22.65% (0.098000000000003 0.1)54.17% (-0.194 -0.19)
Both teams to score 57.4% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.64% (-0.342 -0.34)42.36% (0.34 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24% (-0.341 -0.34)64.76% (0.339 0.34)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (-0.111 -0.11)32% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.123 -0.12)68.45% (0.122 0.12)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41% (-0.187 -0.19)15.59% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.43% (-0.347 -0.35)44.56% (0.345 0.34)
Score Analysis
    FC Winterthur 23.17%
    Basel 54.17%
    Draw 22.65%
FC WinterthurDrawBasel
2-1 @ 6.02% (0.018 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.68% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.24% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 23.17%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 9.82% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 9.27% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.61% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.08% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.83% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 54.17%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 28
Basel
1-1
Winterthur
Diaby (85' og.)
Veiga (19')
Stillhart (40')
Ltaief (24'), Stillhart (45')
Jan 30, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Winterthur
1-3
Basel
Luthi (79')
Burkart (28'), Lekaj (49'), Schneider (50'), Diaby (65')
Lekaj (53'), Schneider (56')
Barry (13', 72'), Veiga (90+1')
Veiga (10'), Kade (15'), Vouilloz (51')
Jul 30, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Basel
5-2
Winterthur
Van Breemen (41'), Ndoye (58'), Augustin (63'), Frei (90+1', 90+3' pen.)
Schmid (35'), Millar (55')
Di Giusto (8'), Stillhart (80')
Schmid (23'), Sidler (33'), Buess (63'), Schneider (87')
Apr 30, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 31
Winterthur
1-4
Basel
Ardaiz (20' pen.)
Nuhu (7'), Males (12'), Amdouni (71'), Zeqiri (83')
Apr 1, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 26
Basel
2-0
Winterthur
Augustin (25'), Fink (85')