Swiss Super League | Gameweek 20

Jan 26, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Sportplatz Chruzmatt

Luzern
3 - 1
FC Zurich

Karweina (13'), Grbic (19' pen., 62')
Knezevic (36'), Owusu (44'), CigaÅ†iks (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kamberi (78')
Denoon (17'), Chouiar (30'), Jose Perea (36'), Tsawa (45+1')
Denoon (22'), Kamberi (88')

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and FC Zurich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luzern

All competitions

Last Game: Lausanne 0-0 Luzern
Sunday, January 19 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

FC Zurich

All competitions

Last Game: FC Zurich 1-0 Yverdon Sport
Sunday, January 19 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.

Result
Luzern	Draw	FC Zurich
41.73% ( -0.02)	25.84% ( 0.17)	32.43% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 54% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87% (

-0.77)

50.12% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.9% (

-0.69)

72.09% (

0.69)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.19% (

-0.35)

23.81% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.02% (

-0.51)

57.97% (

0.5)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

-0.48)

29.12% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

-0.59)

65.04% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Luzern 41.73%

FC Zurich 32.43%

Draw 25.83%

Luzern	Draw	FC Zurich
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.73%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.43%