Winterthur
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 18
Dec 14, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Schutzenwiese
Luzern

Winterthur
3 - 4
Luzern

Baroan (26'), Di Giusto (34'), Burkart (41')
Baroan (72'), Baroan (75'), Kapino (90'), Durrer (90')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Klidje (3'), Rrudhani (28'), Ottiger (90+2'), Grbic (90+3')
Spadanuda (1'), Knezevic (48'), Rrudhani (90+5')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between FC Winterthur and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Winterthur

All competitions
Last Game: Servette 1-1 Winterthur
Sunday, December 8 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Luzern

All competitions
Last Game: Luzern 1-4 Lugano
Saturday, December 7 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.

Result
FC WinterthurDrawLuzern
20.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)21.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)58.18% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 57.53% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.69% (0.010000000000005 0.01)40.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)62.67% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.0020000000000095 0)33.4% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.03% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (0.0039999999999907 0)13.6% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)40.73% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Winterthur 20.37%
    Luzern 58.18%
    Draw 21.43%
FC WinterthurDrawLuzern
2-1 @ 5.45%
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 2.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 1.99%
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 20.37%
1-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 5.44%
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 9.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 6.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 3.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.31%
0-5 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 58.18%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 5
Luzern
3-0
Winterthur
Villiger (3', 51'), Karweina (77')
Beloko (89')

Lekaj (33'), Schneider (41'), Diaby (68'), Fofana (80'), Krasniqi (90+6'), Chiappetta (90+6')
Feb 11, 2024 1.15pm
Gameweek 23
Winterthur
2-1
Luzern
Ltaief (64'), Schattin (83')
Diaby (9'), Schattin (51')
Grbic (25' pen.)
Ottiger (50')
Ottiger (82')
Nov 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 15
Luzern
3-1
Winterthur
Chader (6'), Simani (85'), Abubakar (90')
Frydek Jr (13'), Ulrich (87'), Haas (90+6')
Schattin (66')
Arnold (74'), Stillhart (76'), Schneider (90+5'), Ramizi (90+6')
Jul 22, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Winterthur
0-0
Luzern
Sidler (23'), Ballet (25'), Diaby (44')
Beloko (4'), Okou (17'), Dorn (34')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Luzern
3-1
Winterthur
Dorn (40'), Sorgic (65'), Schurpf (81')
Ardaiz (25')