Winterthur
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Schutzenwiese
Lugano

Winterthur
2 - 3
Lugano

Baroan (6', 35' pen.)
Zuffi (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cimignani (52', 63'), Koutsias (90+3')
Papadopoulos (45+1'), Bislimi (49')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between FC Winterthur and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Young Boys 0-0 Winterthur
Saturday, January 18 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-2 Basel
Sunday, January 19 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
FC WinterthurDrawLugano
26.03%23.61%50.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 57.33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)43.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)66.3%
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)30.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.7%
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.47% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)17.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.03%
Score Analysis
    FC Winterthur 26.03%
    Lugano 50.36%
    Draw 23.61%
FC WinterthurDrawLugano
2-1 @ 6.56%
1-0 @ 6.34%
2-0 @ 3.77%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.26%
3-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3%
Total : 26.03%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 5.72%
0-0 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-1 @ 9.3%
0-2 @ 8.1%
1-3 @ 5.59%
0-3 @ 4.71%
2-3 @ 3.32%
1-4 @ 2.43%
0-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 50.36%

Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 8
Lugano
2-1
Winterthur
Steffen (73', 82')
Croci-Torti (0'), Papadopoulos (72')
Bajrami (58')
Lekaj (56'), Durrer (86')
Lekaj (89')
May 16, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 36
Lugano
4-2
Winterthur
Sabbatini (43'), Bislimi (49'), Steffen (67'), Celar (89')
Turkes (27'), Burkart (87')
Apr 6, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 31
Winterthur
2-2
Lugano
Schneider (63'), Turkes (84')
Arnold (82')
Cimignani (48'), Espinoza (83')
Grgic (58'), Hajdari (87')
Dec 10, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 17
Lugano
2-1
Winterthur
Steffen (39'), Celar (83')
Mahmoud (16'), Hajdari (35'), Arigoni (74'), Hajrizi (90+3'), Bislimi (90+4')
Ballet (90+2')
Burkart (82'), Schattin (83'), Ramizi (90+7')
Sep 30, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Winterthur
2-3
Lugano
Burkart (68'), Buess (90+3')
Stillhart (31'), Rahmen (32'), Schattin (62'), Jankewitz (85')
Vladi (22'), Alexandre Costa Marques (70'), Mahmoud (73')
Hajdari (33'), Macek (49'), Cimignani (62'), Steffen (83'), Sabbatini (89')