Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 19
Jan 19, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Basel

Lugano
2 - 2
Basel

Grgic (45+2' pen.), Hajdari (54')
Steffen (57'), Brault-Guillard (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carlos (24'), Shaqiri (87' pen.)
Mendes (28'), Leroy (36'), Schmid (42'), Cisse (74')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-2 Pafos
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League

Basel

All competitions
Last Game: Basel 0-1 Grasshopper
Saturday, December 14 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
LuganoDrawBasel
33.75% (-1.055 -1.06)23.51% (-0.402 -0.4)42.74% (1.45 1.45)
Both teams to score 62.61% (1.18 1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.89% (1.668 1.67)39.1% (-1.674 -1.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57% (1.73 1.73)61.43% (-1.735 -1.74)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.196 0.2)23.01% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (0.29199999999999 0.29)56.82% (-0.299 -0.3)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32% (1.323 1.32)18.67% (-1.33 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.99% (2.181 2.18)50% (-2.188 -2.19)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 33.75%
    Basel 42.74%
    Draw 23.51%
LuganoDrawBasel
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-0 @ 6.31% (-0.468 -0.47)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.315 -0.32)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.076 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 33.75%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-2 @ 6.53% (0.117 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.346 -0.35)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.05% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.97% (0.261 0.26)
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.213 0.21)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.159 0.16)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.19 0.19)
2-4 @ 1.53% (0.149 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 42.74%

How you voted: Lugano vs Basel

Lugano
30.0%
Draw
50.0%
Basel
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Basel
1-2
Lugano
Leroy (50')
Leroy (59')
Aliseda (8'), Przybylko (69')
Hajdari (53')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Lugano
2-0
Basel
Hajdari (44'), Steffen (69')
Steffen (41'), Macek (52')

Drager (55'), Kacuri (55'), Augustin (64'), Kayombo (66'), Frei (67')
Feb 3, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Basel
0-1
Lugano

Vouilloz (64')
Steffen (69')
Valenzuela (72'), Bislimi (81'), Celar (89')
Dec 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Lugano
1-3
Basel
Macek (54')
Macek (25'), Steffen (49'), Vladi (77'), Saipi (89')
Dubasin (29'), Jovanovic (61'), Beney (90+2')
Schmid (18'), Ruegg (21'), Salvi (86'), Veiga (89'), Avdullahu (89'), Avdullahu (89')
May 21, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 34
Basel
1-1
Lugano
Zeqiri (34')
Zeqiri (38'), Males (62'), Calafiori (63'), Frei (90+4'), Vogel (90+7')
Vogel (0'), Calafiori (90+4')
Steffen (84')
Hajrizi (19'), Mahou (89'), Steffen (89'), Saipi (90+4')