Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 22
Feb 6, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park (Basel)
Luzern

Basel
2 - 1
Luzern

Shaqiri (4' pen., 57' pen.)
Avdullahu (51'), Mendes (89'), Baro (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Winkler (1')
Knezevic (58'), Kadak (81')
Cigaņiks (90+4')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Last Game: FC Zurich 0-1 Basel
Sunday, February 2 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Luzern

All competitions
Last Game: Luzern 2-0 St Gallen
Sunday, February 2 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Luzern win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawLuzern
52.64% (-0.519 -0.52)23.74% (0.082000000000001 0.08)23.61% (0.435 0.43)
Both teams to score 54.31% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.28% (0.085999999999999 0.09)46.71% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.02% (0.079999999999998 0.08)68.98% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (-0.164 -0.16)17.71% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (-0.281 -0.28)48.37% (0.279 0.28)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (0.43299999999999 0.43)34% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32% (0.467 0.47)70.68% (-0.47 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Basel 52.64%
    Luzern 23.61%
    Draw 23.74%
BaselDrawLuzern
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.02% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.21% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.61%

How you voted: Basel vs Luzern

Basel
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Luzern
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 8
Luzern
1-0
Basel
Jaquez (78')
Beloko (48'), Ottiger (87')

Vouilloz (45+4'), Avdullahu (56'), Fink (85')
May 5, 2024 1.15pm
Gameweek 34
Basel
1-1
Luzern
Barry (52')
Barry (15'), Avdullahu (43'), Kade (54'), Ruegg (86')
Meyer (46')
Dorn (62'), Jasari (69'), Winkler (78')
Apr 21, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Luzern
1-1
Basel
Grbic (70')
Jasari (78')
Kade (2')
Kade (41')
Dec 17, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 18
Luzern
0-1
Basel

Meyer (34'), Dorn (69'), Villiger (88'), Frydek Jr (90+3'), Jaquez (90+3')
Dubasin (66')
Avdullahu (89'), Barry (90+3')
Sep 28, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Basel
1-1
Luzern
Jovanovic (60')
van Breemen (25')
Jasari (81')
Beka (90')
rhs 2.0


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