Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.