Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 69.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Nafta had a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Nafta win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.

Result
Celje	Draw	Nafta
69.75% ( 0.02)	17.5% ( -0.01)	12.75% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.09% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.52% (

0.02)

36.48% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.37% (

0.03)

58.63% (

-0.03)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.6% (

0.01)

9.4% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.37% (

0.03)

31.63% (

-0.03)

Nafta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.7% (

-0)

40.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.07% (

-0)

76.93%

Score Analysis

Celje 69.75%

Nafta 12.75%

Draw 17.5%

Celje	Draw	Nafta
2-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 69.75%	1-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.5%	1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 12.75%