Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Celje had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%).