Conference League
Mar 13, 2025 5.45pm
5
4
HT : 3 1
ET Stockhorn Arena
  • Hadj Mahmoud 21' goal
  • Georgios Koutsias 42' goal
  • Daniel dos Santos Correia 44' goal
  • Daniel dos Santos Correia 51' yellowcard
  • Georgios Koutsias 61' yellowcard
  • Georgios Koutsias 80' goal
  • Albian Hajdari 90'+3' redcard
  • Sebastian Osigwe 105'+3' yellowcard
  • Renato Steffen 112' yellowcard
  • Yanis Cimignani 112' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Doumbia 118' goal
  • Mattia Croci-Torti 121' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Logan Delaurier-Chaubet 24'
  • goal Svit Seslar 40'
  • goal Tamar Svetlin 68'
  • goal Armandas Kucys 90'+5'
  • goal Juanjo Nieto 97'
  • yellowcard Tamar Svetlin 105'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Silva 112'

Lugano vs Celje - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 6, 2025 8.00pm
Celje 1 - 0 Lugano

Celje

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 6, 2025 8.00pm
Celje 1 - 0 Lugano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Celje had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%).

Result

Lugano 52.31% (+0.02)
Draw 21.92% (-0.01)
Celje 25.78% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.08% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.77% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 36.22% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 41.66% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 58.34% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 23.49% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 76.51% (-0.01)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 85.94% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 14.06% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 58.36% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 41.64% (-0.02)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5 73.39% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.6% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.17% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.83% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lugano 52.31%
Draw 21.92%
Celje 25.78%
Lugano
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.2% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.13% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 52.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.92%
Celje
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 25.78%

Head to Head

Conference League
Mar 6, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Z'dezele
  • Tamar Svetlin 23' goal
  • Armandas Kucys 52' yellowcard
  • Klemen Nemanic 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Albian Hajdari 16'
  • yellowcard Mattia Bottani 59'
  • redcard Antonios Papadopoulos 90'+1'