Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Sion had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Sion	Draw	Lugano
35.35% ( 0.3)	25.25% ( 0.03)	39.4% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 56.73% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.07% (

-0.12)

46.93% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.83% (

-0.11)

69.18% (

0.11)

Sion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.23% (

0.12)

25.78% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.28% (

0.16)

60.72% (

-0.16)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43% (

-0.22)

23.57% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.36% (

-0.32)

57.64% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Sion 35.35%

Lugano 39.4%

Draw 25.24%

Sion	Draw	Lugano
1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 35.35%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.4%