Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.