Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Bologna |
| 28.28% ( | 26.69% ( | 45.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.83% ( | 55.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.59% ( | 76.41% ( |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( | 34.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.59% ( | 71.41% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( | 24.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% ( | 58.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 2-0 @ 4.75% ( 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 3-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.28% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0-2 @ 8.42% ( 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.03% |