Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.