Serie A Gameweek 31
AC Milan
Apr 5, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Fiorentina
  • Tammy Abraham 23' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 41' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 58' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 58' yellowcard
  • Luka Jovic 64' goal
  • goal Malick Thiaw 7' (OG)
  • goal Moise Kean 10'
  • yellowcard Pablo Mari 31'
  • yellowcard Dodo 41'
  • yellowcard David de Gea 66'
  • redcard Raffaele Palladino 90'+3'
  • redcard Raffaele Palladino 90'+3'

AC Milan vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 7.45pm
Napoli 2 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 2.00pm
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Atalanta
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 27.46% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.06%).

Result

AC Milan 48.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 23.74% ▲ (+0.06)
Fiorentina 27.46% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.18% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.63% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 43.37% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 3.5 34.23% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 3.5 65.77% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 4.5 17.7% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 82.3% ▲ (+0.20)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 82.09% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 17.91% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 51.29% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 48.7% ▲ (+0.17)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 70.87% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 29.13% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 34.94% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 65.06% ▲ (+0.22)

Score analysis

AC Milan 48.81%
Draw 23.73%
Fiorentina 27.46%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 48.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.73%
Fiorentina
1-2 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 27.46%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 7
Fiorentina
Oct 6, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
AC Milan
  • Dodo 8' yellowcard
  • Yacine Adli 35' goal
  • Albert Gudmundsson 73' goal
  • Raffaele Palladino 86' redcard
  • Edoardo Bove 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 24'
  • yellowcard Paulo Fonseca 32'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 43'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 60'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 72'
  • redcard Theo Hernandez 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
Mar 30, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
AC Milan
  • Cristiano Biraghi 13' yellowcard
  • Lucas Martinez 24' yellowcard
  • Alfred Duncan 50' goal
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 21'
  • goal Ruben Loftus-Cheek 47'
  • goal Rafael Leao 53'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 89'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 13
AC Milan
Nov 25, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Fiorentina
  • Theo Hernandez 45'+2' goal
  • Fikayo Tomori 56' yellowcard
  • Stefano Pioli 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arthur 12'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 45'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
Mar 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
AC Milan
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 49' goal
  • Luka Jovic 87' goal
  • goal Theo Hernandez 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 15
AC Milan
Nov 13, 2022 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Fiorentina
  • Rafael Leao 2' goal
  • Nikola Milenkovic 90'+2' goal
  • goal Antonin Barak 28'
Serie A Gameweek 35
AC Milan
May 1, 2022 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Rafael Leao 82' goal
  • Ismael Bennacer 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Youssef Maleh 2'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Venuti 42'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 72'

Form Data

AC Milan 1 - 1 Inter Milan
Napoli 2 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 2 - 1 Como
Lecce 2 - 3 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 2 Lazio
Bologna 2 - 1 AC Milan
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Atalanta
Fiorentina 3 - 0 Juventus
Fiorentina 3 - 1 Panathinaikos
Napoli 2 - 1 Fiorentina
Panathinaikos 3 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Lecce