Serie A Gameweek 27
AC Milan
Mar 2, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lazio
  • Strahinja Pavlovic 67' redcard
  • Santiago Gimenez 76' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 80' yellowcard
  • Samuel Chukwueze 84' goal
  • goal Mattia Zaccagni 28'
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 90'+2'
  • goal Pedro 90'+8'

AC Milan vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2025 7.45pm
Bologna 2 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 2.00pm
Venezia 0 - 0 Lazio
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 49.54% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 24.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Lazio 25.9% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 29.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.55% ▲ (+0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 80.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 19.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 48.67% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 51.33% ▲ (+0.06)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 67.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 32.85% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 30.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 69.42% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

AC Milan 49.54%
Draw 24.56%
Lazio 25.9%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 10.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 49.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.56%
Lazio
0-1 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 25.9%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 3
Lazio
Aug 31, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
AC Milan
  • Nicolo Rovella 39' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 62' goal
  • Mattia Zaccagni 64' yellowcard
  • Boulaye Dia 66' goal
  • Patric 85' yellowcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Strahinja Pavlovic 8'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Fofana 20'
  • goal Rafael Leao 72'
  • yellowcard Filippo Terracciano 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Lazio
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
AC Milan
  • Maurizio Sarri 22' yellowcard
  • Luca Pellegrini 50' yellowcard
  • Luca Pellegrini 57' redcard
  • Alessio Romagnoli 58' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 76' yellowcard
  • Elseid Hysaj 90' yellowcard
  • Adam Marusic 90'+4' redcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 61'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 70'
  • goal Rafael Leao 76'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 80'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 84'
  • goal Noah Okafor 88'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Christian Pulisic 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 7
AC Milan
Sep 30, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lazio
  • Christian Pulisic 60' goal
  • Rafael Leao 65' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 83' yellowcard
  • Mike Maignan 86' yellowcard
  • Noah Okafor 88' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Marusic 51'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 64'
Serie A Gameweek 34
AC Milan
May 6, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lazio
  • Ismael Bennacer 17' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 29' goal
Serie A Gameweek 19
Lazio
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
AC Milan
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 4' goal
  • Mattia Zaccagni 38' goal
  • Luis Alberto 67' goal
  • Felipe Anderson 75' goal
Serie A Gameweek 34
Lazio
Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Ciro Immobile 4' goal
  • Thomas Strakosha 8' yellowcard
  • Lucas Leiva 53' yellowcard
  • Danilo Cataldi 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 26'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 50'
  • yellowcard Pierre Kalulu 83'
  • yellowcard Zlatan Ibrahimovic 85'
  • goal Sandro Tonali 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 90'+4'

Form Data

Bologna 2 - 1 AC Milan
Torino 2 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 1 Feyenoord
AC Milan 1 - 0 Hellas Verona
Feyenoord 1 - 0 AC Milan
Empoli 0 - 2 AC Milan
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Lazio
Venezia 0 - 0 Lazio
Lazio 2 - 2 Napoli
Lazio 5 - 1 Monza
Cagliari 1 - 2 Lazio
Braga 1 - 0 Lazio