Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Venezia win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.