Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.24%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Torino had a probability of 27.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | AC Milan |
| 27.44% ( | 28.32% ( | 44.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.68% ( | 61.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.77% ( | 81.23% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.29% ( | 38.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.55% ( | 75.45% ( |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( | 27.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.84% ( | 63.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 2-0 @ 4.82% ( 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 3-0 @ 1.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.54% Total : 27.44% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 2-2 @ 3.99% ( Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 13.75% ( 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.74% Total : 44.23% |