/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Femplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
-
Liam Henderson
45'+3'
-
Alberto Grassi
62'
-
Luca Marianucci
65'
-
Joao Felix
18'
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Fikayo Tomori
36'
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Fikayo Tomori
55'
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Santiago Gimenez
65'
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Rafael Leao
68'
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Santiago Gimenez
76'
Empoli vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result
Empoli
23.92%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
26.36%
▲
(+0.17)
AC Milan
49.72%
▼
(-0.38)
Both Teams to Score:
46.83%
▼
(-0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.27%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 2.5
56.73%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 3.5
22.32%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 3.5
77.68%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 4.5
9.7%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 4.5
90.3%
▲
(+0.21)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5
60.73%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
39.27%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
24.03%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
75.97%
▲
(+0.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
77.11%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 0.5
22.89%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 1.5
43.35%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 1.5
56.65%
▲
(+0.51)
Score analysis
Empoli
23.92%
Draw
26.35%
AC Milan
49.71%
Empoli
1-0
@
8.4%
▲
(+0.13)
2-1 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.92%
2-1 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.92%
Draw
1-1
@
12.38%
▲
(+0.07)
0-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.35%
0-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.35%
AC Milan
0-1
@
13.25%
▲
(+0.09)
0-2 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 49.71%
0-2 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 49.71%