Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 8, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
0 - 2
AC Milan

Henderson (45+3'), Grassi (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Leao (68'), Gimenez (76')
Felix (18'), Tomori (36'), Gimenez (65')
Tomori (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 4-1 Empoli
Sunday, February 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Roma
Wednesday, February 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	AC Milan
23.92% ( 0.21)	26.36% ( 0.16)	49.72% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 46.83% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.27% (

-0.42)

56.73% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.32% (

-0.34)

77.68% (

0.34)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.73% (

-0.04)

39.27% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.03% (

-0.03)

75.97% (

0.03)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.11% (

-0.34)

22.89% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.35% (

-0.51)

56.65% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Empoli 23.92%

AC Milan 49.71%

Draw 26.35%

Empoli	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.92%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 49.71%