Champions League

Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 12, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stadion Feijenoord

Feyenoord
1 - 0
AC Milan

(Feyenoord win 2-1 on aggregate)

Paixao (3')
Smal (57'), Milambo (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thiaw (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Feyenoord and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Feyenoord

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Feyenoord 3-0 Sparta
Saturday, February 8 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Empoli 0-2 AC Milan
Saturday, February 8 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	AC Milan
50.98% ( -0.1)	22.83% ( -0.08)	26.19% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 60.21% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.82% (

0.56)

40.18% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.44% (

0.57)

62.56% (

-0.57)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08% (

0.17)

15.91% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.84% (

0.31)

45.16% (

-0.3)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.6% (

0.43)

28.4% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.85% (

0.54)

64.15% (

-0.54)

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 50.98%

AC Milan 26.19%

Draw 22.82%

Feyenoord	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.98%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.82%	1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.54% Total : 26.19%