Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.