Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 59.11%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 20.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (5.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.