Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Feb 15, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Gimenez (75')
Musah (16'), Jimenez (59'), Gimenez (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coppola (11'), Niasse (21'), Bradaric (43'), Duda (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, February 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-5 Atalanta
Saturday, February 8 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 68.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Hellas Verona
68.04% ( 0.25)	18.94% ( -0.12)	13.02% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 49.69% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.38% (

0.22)

42.62% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.97% (

0.22)

65.02% (

-0.22)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.49% (

0.13)

11.51% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.61% (

0.28)

36.39% (

-0.28)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.15% (

-0.07)

43.85% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20% (

-0.06)

80% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 68.03%

Hellas Verona 13.02%

Draw 18.94%

AC Milan	Draw	Hellas Verona
2-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 68.03%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 18.94%	0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 13.02%