Serie A Gameweek 9
Bologna
Feb 27, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
AC Milan
  • Santiago Castro 48' goal
  • Nicolo Casale 53' yellowcard
  • Dan Ndoye 82' goal
  • goal Rafael Leao 43'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 47'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 54'

Bologna vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 2.00pm
Parma 2 - 0 Bologna
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Riccardo Orsolini

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 5.00pm
Torino 2 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Bologna 36.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 26.73% ▼ (-0.02)
AC Milan 37.16% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.8% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 53.25% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 25.19% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 74.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 11.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 88.51% ▼ (-0.05)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 71.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 35.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.07% ▼ (-0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 72.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 27.71% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 36.72% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 63.27% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Bologna 36.11%
Draw 26.72%
AC Milan 37.15%
Bologna
1-0 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.01% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.72%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 10.07% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 37.15%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 22
AC Milan
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna
  • Rafael Leao 22' yellowcard
  • Davide Calabria 36' yellowcard
  • Yacine Adli 44' yellowcard
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 45' goal
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 83' goal
  • Filippo Terracciano 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 2'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 29'
  • yellowcard Lewis Ferguson 39'
  • redcard Thiago Motta 41'
  • yellowcard Kacper Urbanski 57'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Bologna
Aug 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
AC Milan
  • Michel Aebischer 30' yellowcard
  • Joshua Zirkzee 77' yellowcard
  • goal Olivier Giroud 11'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 21'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 51'
  • yellowcard Rade Krunic 76'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Bologna
Apr 15, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
AC Milan
  • Nicola Sansone 1' goal
  • goal Tommaso Pobega 40'
Serie A Gameweek 3
AC Milan
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna
  • Rafael Leao 21' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 58' goal
  • Davide Calabria 66' yellowcard
  • Yacine Adli 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jerdy Schouten 56'
Serie A Gameweek 31
AC Milan
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bologna
  • yellowcard Mitchell Dijks 41'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 90'+8'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Bologna
Oct 23, 2021 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT
AC Milan
  • Adama Soumaoro 20' redcard
  • Marko Arnautovic 34' yellowcard
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 49' goal
  • Musa Barrow 52' goal
  • Roberto Soriano 58' redcard
  • goal Rafael Leao 16'
  • goal Davide Calabria 35'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 61'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 67'
  • goal Ismael Bennacer 84'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 90'

Form Data

Parma 2 - 0 Bologna
Bologna 3 - 2 Torino
Lecce 0 - 0 Bologna
Atalanta 0 - 1 Bologna
Bologna 2 - 0 Como
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Bologna
Torino 2 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 1 Feyenoord
AC Milan 1 - 0 Hellas Verona
Feyenoord 1 - 0 AC Milan
Empoli 0 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 3 - 1 Roma

Build-up

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