Inter logo
Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Feb 25, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lazio logo

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Lazio

Arnautovic (39'), Calhanoglu (77' pen.)
Asllani (14'), Dumfries (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Isaksen (33'), Pellegrini (36'), Gigot (75'), Guendouzi (76'), Ibrahimovic (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Inter Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

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Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Inter Milan (3-2 pen.)
Friday, December 19 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Next Game: Atalanta vs. Inter Milan
Sunday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
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Lazio

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Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Cremonese
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Serie A
Next Game: Udinese vs. Lazio
Saturday, December 27 at 5pm in Serie A
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawLazio
51.74% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)24.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)23.66% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 51.66% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)50.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.8% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)72.2% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)19.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.78% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)51.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.09%35.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)72.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 51.74%
    Lazio 23.66%
    Draw 24.6%
Inter MilanDrawLazio
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 51.74%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 23.66%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Lazio

Inter Milan
80.0%
Draw
15.2%
Lazio
4.8%
145
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 16
Lazio
0-6
Inter Milan

Rovella (40'), Zaccagni (80')
Calhanoglu (41' pen.), Dimarco (45'), Barella (51'), Dumfries (53'), Augusto (77'), Thuram (90')
Calhanoglu (24'), Bastoni (31'), Aurel Bisseck (44'), Darmian (75')
> Preview
May 19, 2024 5pm
gameweek 37
Inter Milan
1-1
Lazio
Dumfries (87')
Kamada (32')
Casale (52')
> Preview
Jan 19, 2024 7pm
Semi-Finals
Inter Milan
3-0
Lazio
Thuram (17'), Calhanoglu (50' pen.), Frattesi (87')
Calhanoglu (79')

Romagnoli (64'), Vecino (70')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 16
Lazio
0-2
Inter Milan

Casale (81')
Lazzari (86')
Martinez (40'), Thuram (66')
Thuram (26'), Barella (61')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2023 11.30am
gameweek 32
Inter Milan
3-1
Lazio
Martinez (77', 90'), Gosens (83')
Anderson (30')
> Preview