Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Lazio
51.74% ( 0.33)	24.6% ( -0.1)	23.66% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 51.66% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.75% (

0.17)

50.25% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.8% (

0.15)

72.2% (

-0.15)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.59% (

0.19)

19.4% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.78% (

0.32)

51.22% (

-0.32)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.09% (

-0.12)

35.9% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.32% (

-0.12)

72.68% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 51.74%

Lazio 23.66%

Draw 24.6%

Inter Milan	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 51.74%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.66%