Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Feb 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Genoa

Martinez (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Miretti (55'), Ekuban (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 2-0 Venezia
Monday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 76.5%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 3-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Genoa
76.5% ( 0.11)	15.64% ( -0.06)	7.86% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 41.6% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.2% (

0.07)

42.8% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.8% (

0.07)

65.2% (

-0.08)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.59% (

0.04)

9.4% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.36% (

0.11)

31.63% (

-0.11)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.92% (

-0.08)

54.08% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.67% (

-0.05)

87.32% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 76.49%

Genoa 7.86%

Draw 15.64%

Inter Milan	Draw	Genoa
2-0 @ 14.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% 6-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 76.49%	1-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 15.64%	0-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 7.86%