Coppa Italia
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-
Theo Hernandez
19'
-
Tammy Abraham
47'
-
Tijjani Reijnders
89'
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Francesco Acerbi
53'
-
Yann Aurel Bisseck
58'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
67'
AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result
AC Milan
36.83%
▼
(-0.63)
Draw
25.02%
▲
(+0.32)
Inter Milan
38.15%
▲
(+0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
57.69%
▼
(-1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.26%
▼
(-1.50)
Under 2.5
45.74%
▲
(+1.50)
Over 3.5
31.94%
▼
(-1.44)
Under 3.5
68.06%
▲
(+1.44)
Over 4.5
16.03%
▼
(-1.04)
Under 4.5
83.97%
▲
(+1.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
75.6%
▼
(-1.02)
Under 0.5
24.4%
▲
(+1.01)
Over 1.5
41.19%
▼
(-1.46)
Under 1.5
58.81%
▲
(+1.45)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5
76.31%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 0.5
23.69%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 1.5
42.19%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 1.5
57.8%
▲
(+0.74)
Score analysis
AC Milan
36.83%
Draw
25.02%
Inter Milan
38.15%
AC Milan
2-1
@
8.28%
▼
(-0.09)
1-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.28)
2-0 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 36.83%
1-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.28)
2-0 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 36.83%
Draw
1-1
@
11.74%
▲
(+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.36)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.02%
2-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.36)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.02%
Inter Milan
1-2
@
8.46%
▲
(+0.04)
0-1 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.40)
0-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.15%
0-1 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.40)
0-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.15%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
23
-
Tijjani Reijnders
45'
-
Alessandro Bastoni
53'
-
Denzel Dumfries
61'
-
Stefan de Vrij
90'+3'
Supercoppa Italiana
-
Lautaro Martinez
45'+1'
-
Mehdi Taremi
47'
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
51'
-
Denzel Dumfries
54'
-
Nicolo Barella
72'
-
Alessandro Bastoni
89'
-
Theo Hernandez
52'
-
Fikayo Tomori
57'
-
Christian Pulisic
80'
-
Tammy Abraham
90'+3'
Serie A
Gameweek
5
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
19'
-
Federico Dimarco
28'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
40'
-
Simone Inzaghi
68'
-
Kristjan Asllani
86'
-
Federico Dimarco
88'
-
Christian Pulisic
10'
-
Youssouf Fofana
38'
-
Matteo Gabbia
89'
Serie A
Gameweek
33
-
Theo Hernandez
36'
-
Fikayo Tomori
80'
-
Matteo Gabbia
90'
-
Fikayo Tomori
90'+2'
-
Theo Hernandez
90'+3'
-
Davide Calabria
90'+7'
-
Francesco Acerbi
18'
-
Nicolo Barella
22'
-
Simone Inzaghi
23'
-
Lautaro Martinez
32'
-
Marcus Thuram
49'
-
Denzel Dumfries
90'+3'
Serie A
Gameweek
4
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
5'
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
5'
-
Marcus Thuram
38'
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
69'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
72'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
79'
-
Davide Frattesi
90'+3'
-
Davide Frattesi
90'+4'
-
Malick Thiaw
24'
-
Malick Thiaw
24'
-
Rafael Leao
57'
-
Theo Hernandez
61'
Champions League
-
Lautaro Martinez
74'