Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Inter Milan
36.83% ( -0.62)	25.02% ( 0.31)	38.15% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 57.69% (

-1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.26% (

-1.5)

45.74% (

1.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94% (

-1.44)

68.06% (

1.43)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6% (

-1.01)

24.4% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.19% (

-1.45)

58.81% (

1.45)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31% (

-0.52)

23.69% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.19% (

-0.74)

57.8% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 36.83%

Inter Milan 38.15%

Draw 25.02%

AC Milan	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.83%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.02%	1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.15%