Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 8, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
2 - 3
AC Milan

Krstovic (7', 59')
Berisha (42'), Krstovic (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallo (68' og.), Pulisic (73' pen., 81')
Conceicao (45+4'), Abraham (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Lecce
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 1-2 Lazio
Sunday, March 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	AC Milan
17.57% ( -0.06)	22.96% ( -0.01)	59.47% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 47.68% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.04% (

-0.06)

50.96% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.17% (

-0.05)

72.83% (

0.05)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.31% (

-0.11)

42.69% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.97% (

-0.09)

79.03% (

0.09)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.2% (

16.79% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.24% (

46.76% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Lecce 17.57%

AC Milan 59.46%

Draw 22.95%

Lecce	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.57%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.95%	0-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 11.41% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.79% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.83% Total : 59.46%