Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Warren Bondo 10' yellowcard
  • Yunus Musah 48' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 53' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 75' goal
  • Alex Jimenez 79' yellowcard
  • Sergio Conceicao 82' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Da Cunha 33'
  • yellowcard Maximo Perrone 68'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Espeto 79'
  • yellowcard Nico Paz 90'
  • redcard Dele Alli 90'+1'

AC Milan vs Como - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 5.00pm
Lecce 2 - 3 AC Milan
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Como

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 2.00pm
Como 1 - 1 Venezia
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Assane Diao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Como had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Como win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result

AC Milan 60.73% (-0.56)
Draw 20.97% (+0.22)
Como 18.3% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.44% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.68% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 41.32% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 36.28% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 63.72% (+0.42)
Over 4.5 19.23% (-0.32)
Under 4.5 80.77% (+0.32)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 86.83% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 13.17% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 60.13% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 39.87% (+0.60)

Como Goals

Over 0.5 63.85% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 36.15% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 27.07% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 72.93% (-0.15)

Score analysis

AC Milan 60.73%
Draw 20.97%
Como 18.3%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.95% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 9.65% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 6.61% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 60.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.82% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.07% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.76% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.97%
Como
1-2 @ 5% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 4.84% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.46% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.72% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 18.3%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Assane Diao 60' goal
  • Marc-Oliver Kempf 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 20'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 33'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 43'
  • yellowcard Alex Jimenez 53'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 56'
  • goal Theo Hernandez 71'
  • goal Rafael Leao 76'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 85'