Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Como had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Como win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AC Milan in this match.