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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 1
Como

Pulisic (53'), Reijnders (75')
Bondo (10'), Musah (48'), Jimenez (79'), Conceicao (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Da Cunha (33')
Perrone (68'), Espeto (79'), Paz (90')
Alli (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, March 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-1 Venezia
Saturday, March 8 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Como

Although Como have proven to be tricky opponents on home turf, they have recorded just one win from their last 10 away fixtures. Under the bright lights of San Siro, it remains to be seen whether the Lariani can produce their very best, so Milan may lean on their greater experience to pick up maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Como had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Como win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawComo
60.73% (-0.555 -0.56) 20.97% (0.213 0.21) 18.3% (0.343 0.34)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68% (-0.402 -0.4)41.32% (0.403 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.28% (-0.409 -0.41)63.72% (0.41 0.41)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.83% (-0.288 -0.29)13.17% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.13% (-0.59 -0.59)39.87% (0.591 0.59)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (0.145 0.15)36.15% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (0.145 0.15)72.93% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 60.73%
    Como 18.3%
    Draw 20.97%
AC MilanDrawComo
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.61% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.97%
1-2 @ 5% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.46% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 18.3%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Como

AC Milan
91.6%
Draw
8.4%
Como
0.0%
95
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2025 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Como
1-2
AC Milan
Diao (60')
Kempf (65')
Hernandez (71'), Leao (76')
Morata (20'), Bennacer (33'), Thiaw (43'), Jimenez (53'), Musah (56'), Leao (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33218472324071
2Napoli33218452252771
3Atalanta BCAtalanta33197766303664
4Bologna331612552371560
5Juventus321514349301959
6Roma33169848321657
7Lazio32168853431056
8Fiorentina32158949321753
9AC Milan331491051381351
10Torino32913103637-140
11Udinese32117143646-1040
12Como33109144348-539
13Genoa32912112938-939
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3395193060-3032
15CagliariCagliari3279163247-1530
16Parma32513143751-1428
17Lecce3368192355-3226
18VeneziaVenezia33413162746-1925
19Empoli33413162652-2625
20Monza3329222557-3215


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