Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 15, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 1
Como

Pulisic (53'), Reijnders (75')
Bondo (10'), Musah (48'), Jimenez (79'), Conceicao (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Da Cunha (33')
Perrone (68'), Espeto (79'), Paz (90')
Alli (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, March 8 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Como 1-1 Venezia
Saturday, March 8 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Como had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Como win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Como
60.73% ( -0.56)	20.97% ( 0.21)	18.3% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 55.44% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.68% (

-0.4)

41.32% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.28% (

-0.41)

63.72% (

0.41)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.83% (

-0.29)

13.17% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.13% (

-0.59)

39.87% (

0.59)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.85% (

0.15)

36.15% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.07% (

0.15)

72.93% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 60.73%

Como 18.3%

Draw 20.97%

AC Milan	Draw	Como
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.35% Total : 60.73%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.97%	1-2 @ 5% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 18.3%