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Matteo Politano
2'
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Romelu Lukaku
19'
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Romelu Lukaku
40'
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Antonio Conte
76'
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Luka Jovic
84'
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Alex Jimenez
90'
Napoli vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Napoli Goals
AC Milan Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 50.07%
0-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 25.77%
Head to Head
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Matteo Politano
50'
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Natan
53'
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Giacomo Raspadori
63'
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Giovanni Di Lorenzo
65'
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Alessandro Zanoli
86'
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Natan
89'
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Olivier Giroud
22'
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Olivier Giroud
31'
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Tijjani Reijnders
55'
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Luka Romero
62'
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Yunus Musah
78'