Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
3 - 2
Monza

Martinez (24'), Arnautovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (64'), Kiriakopoulos (77' og.)

FT(HT: 2-2)

Birindelli (32'), Balde (44')
Izzo (38'), (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Feyenoord 0-2 Inter Milan
Wednesday, March 5 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 0-2 Torino
Sunday, March 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 4.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.35%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Monza
85.22% ( 0.78)	10.56% ( -0.5)	4.22% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 37.95% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.78% (

1.06)

34.22% (

-1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.88% (

1.19)

56.11% (

-1.19)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.34% (

0.35)

5.66% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.1% (

1.01)

21.9% (

-1.01)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.23% (

-0.39)

59.77% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.47% (

-0.2)

90.53% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 85.21%

Monza 4.22%

Draw 10.56%

Inter Milan	Draw	Monza
2-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.11) 6-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.17% Total : 85.21%	1-1 @ 5% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.33% Total : 10.56%	0-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.2% Total : 4.22%