Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Parma had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Parma |
| 44.26% | 26.11% | 29.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.74% ( | 52.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% | 73.97% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% ( | 23.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% | 57.55% ( |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% ( | 32.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.39% ( | 68.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.58% 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0-2 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.64% |