Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Parma had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Parma |
44.26% | 26.11% | 29.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.74% (![]() | 52.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.04% | 73.97% (![]() |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% (![]() | 23.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% | 57.55% (![]() |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.87% (![]() | 32.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.39% (![]() | 68.61% |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.58% 1-2 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 32 | 40 | 71 |
2 | Napoli | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 71 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 60 |
5 | Juventus | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 59 |
6 | Roma | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
9 | AC Milan | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 40 |
11 | Udinese | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 40 |
12 | Como | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 39 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 32 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 30 |
16 | Parma | 32 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Lecce | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 26 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 33 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 25 |
19 | Empoli | 33 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 25 |
20 | Monza | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |