Conference League
Apr 10, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Z'dezele
  • Damjan Vuklisevic 55' yellowcard
  • Logan Delaurier-Chaubet 68' goal
  • goal Luca Ranieri 27'
  • yellowcard Matias Moreno 35'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 49'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 53'
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 62'
  • yellowcard Dodo 87'
  • yellowcard Moise Kean 90'+6'

Celje vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions

Fiorentina

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Celje had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Celje win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result

Celje 37.22% (+0.01)
Draw 23.85% (-0.01)
Fiorentina 38.92% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.03% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.86% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 40.14% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 37.49% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 62.51% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 20.16% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.84% (-0.02)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5 78.34% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.65% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 45.21% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 54.78% (-0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 79.17% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 20.82% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 46.5% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 53.5% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Celje 37.22%
Draw 23.85%
Fiorentina 38.92%
Celje
2-1 @ 8.28%
1-0 @ 6.9% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.22% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 1.62% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 6.5% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.73% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.85%
Fiorentina
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.44% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74%
2-4 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 38.92%