Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.