Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nafta had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.32%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Nafta win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.