Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 71.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 10.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.02%) and 3-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a NS Mura win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Olimpija Ljubljana would win this match.