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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
25.3% ( -0.18) | 22.79% ( 0.01) | 51.91% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 59.42% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.18% ( -0.22) | 40.82% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.79% ( -0.23) | 63.21% ( 0.23) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.58% ( -0.25) | 29.42% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.59% ( -0.32) | 65.41% ( 0.32) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.18% ( -0.02) | 15.82% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.01% ( -0.04) | 44.99% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.3% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
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