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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 30.34% | 27.26% | 42.4% |
| Both teams to score 48.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.56% | 56.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.55% | 77.45% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% | 33.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.54% | 70.45% |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% | 26.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.56% | 61.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.34% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.4% |