Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thackley win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Frickley Athletic had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thackley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Frickley Athletic win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Thackley would win this match.