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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stade Parc des Sports
Midtjylland

Niederkorn
2 - 1
Midtjylland

De Almeida (15', 52')
Amofa (28'), Lybohy (61'), Bastos (103')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chilufya (112')
Gigovic (90+2'), Sorensen (96'), Olsson (118')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Progres Niederkorn and FC Midtjylland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progres Niederkorn

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Last Game: Midtjylland 2-0 Niederkorn
Wednesday, July 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-0 Silkeborg
Sunday, July 30 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 67.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Progres Niederkorn had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.59%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Progres Niederkorn win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Progres NiederkornDrawFC Midtjylland
13.24% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)19.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)67.22% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.32% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.77% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.13% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Progres Niederkorn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)44.86% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)80.82% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.64% (0.0039999999999907 0)12.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.8% (0.007000000000005 0.01)38.2% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Progres Niederkorn 13.24%
    FC Midtjylland 67.21%
    Draw 19.54%
Progres NiederkornDrawFC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 3.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
3-1 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 13.24%
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.54%
0-2 @ 12.11%
0-1 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 8.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.77%
0-4 @ 4.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-4 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 67.21%

Head to Head
Jul 26, 2023 5.45pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Midtjylland
2-0
Niederkorn
Dalsgaard (37'), Kaba (59')
Kyu-Sung (27'), Gigovic (86')

Latic (20'), Peugnet (27'), De Almeida (30'), Lybohy (45+2'), Amofa (46')