Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progres Niederkorn win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Gjilani had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progres Niederkorn win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Gjilani win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progres Niederkorn would win this match.