MX23RW : Monday, August 15 03:51:12| >> :600:271452:271452:
Jul 7, 2022 at 7pm UK at Stadions Daugava
Gjilani
1 - 0
FK Liepaja
Dabiqaj (37')
Halili (75'), Cale (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tarasovs (67'), Sava─╝nieks (81')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Gjilani and FK Liepaja.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: FK Liepaja 0-0 CSKA Sofia (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 29 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Gjilani 0-2 APOEL
Thursday, August 27 at 6pm in Europa League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gjilani win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for FK Liepaja had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gjilani win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest FK Liepaja win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gjilani in this match.

Result
GjilaniDrawFK Liepaja
41.08% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 25.92% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 33% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.91% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.039999999999999 0.04)50.33% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (0.036000000000001 0.04)72.28% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Gjilani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (0.054999999999993 0.05)24.23% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42% (0.076999999999998 0.08)58.58% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
FK Liepaja Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)28.85% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)64.71% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Gjilani 41.08%
    FK Liepaja 33%
    Draw 25.92%
GjilaniDrawFK Liepaja
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 41.08%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.69% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33%

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