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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stade Parc des Sports

Niederkorn
2 - 2
Gjilani

De Almeida (11'), Natami (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramadani (48' pen., 66' pen.)
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Progres Niederkorn and Gjilani.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progres Niederkorn

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Last Game: Niederkorn 0-5 Willem II
Wednesday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Europa League
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Gjilani

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Last Game: FK Liepaja 3-1 Gjilani
Thursday, July 14 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gjilani win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Progres Niederkorn had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gjilani win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Progres Niederkorn win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Progres NiederkornDrawGjilani
34.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)25.26% (0.02 0.02)40.67% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.44% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.81% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)47.19% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.58% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)69.42% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Progres Niederkorn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)26.65% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)61.9% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Gjilani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)23.05% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)56.87% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Progres Niederkorn 34.07%
    Gjilani 40.67%
    Draw 25.26%
Progres NiederkornDrawGjilani
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 34.07%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 40.67%