Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gjilani win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Progres Niederkorn had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gjilani win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Progres Niederkorn win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.