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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadiumi i qytetit Gjilan

FK Liepaja
3 - 1
Gjilani

Karasausks (49' pen.), Belakovic (64'), Dodo (88' pen.)
Kapun (9'), Strumia (40'), Villela (45+2'), Miguel (45+3'), Belakovic (64'), Dodo (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Krasniqi (51')
Razak Keita (45+3'), Hoxha (68')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between FK Liepaja and Gjilani.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gjilani

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Last Game: Gjilani 1-0 FK Liepaja
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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FK Liepaja

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Last Game: Gjilani 1-0 FK Liepaja
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Liepaja win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Gjilani had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Liepaja win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Gjilani win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Liepaja would win this match.

Result
FK LiepajaDrawGjilani
39.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)35.69%
Both teams to score 58.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)44.48% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (0.043999999999997 0.04)66.85% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
FK Liepaja Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (0.02300000000001 0.02)22.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (0.035000000000004 0.04)55.91% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Gjilani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.022000000000006 0.02)24.44% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (0.030999999999999 0.03)58.88% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    FK Liepaja 39.59%
    Gjilani 35.69%
    Draw 24.73%
FK LiepajaDrawGjilani
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39.59%
1-1 @ 11.54%
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 35.69%

How you voted: Gjilani vs FK Liepaja

Gjilani
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
FK Liepaja
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2022 7pm
Gjilani
1-0
FK Liepaja
Dabiqaj (37')
Halili (75'), Cale (77')

Tarasovs (67'), Savaļnieks (81')
rhs 2.0


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