Midtjylland
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
MCH Arena

Midtjylland
2 - 0
Niederkorn

Dalsgaard (37'), Kaba (59')
Kyu-Sung (27'), Gigovic (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Latic (20'), Peugnet (27'), De Almeida (30'), Lybohy (45+2'), Amofa (46')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between FC Midtjylland and Progres Niederkorn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Midtjylland 1-0 Hvidovre
Friday, July 21 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Gjilani 0-2 Niederkorn
Thursday, July 20 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Nordsjaelland44.00Nuamah
2Brondby22.00Evjen
3Copenhagen22.00Goncalves
4Odense22.00Buya Turay
5Randers22.00Andersson
6Aarhus11.00Bech
7Midtjylland11.00Kyu-Sung
8Lyngby Boldklub11.00Finnbogason
9Silkeborg11.00Adamsen
10Viborg11.00Sondergaard
11Hvidovre00.00
12Vejle00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 74.31%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Progres Niederkorn had a probability of 9.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Progres Niederkorn win it was 0-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Midtjylland in this match.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawProgres Niederkorn
74.31% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)15.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)9.84% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.79% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.16% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)36.84% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)59.01% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.55% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)8.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.66% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)29.33% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Progres Niederkorn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)45.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.59% (0.026 0.03)81.41% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 74.31%
    Progres Niederkorn 9.84%
    Draw 15.84%
FC MidtjyllandDrawProgres Niederkorn
2-0 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.61%
4-0 @ 5.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 74.31%
1-1 @ 7.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 15.84%
0-1 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
1-2 @ 2.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.19% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 9.84%

How you voted: Midtjylland vs Niederkorn

FC Midtjylland
94.4%
Draw
5.6%
Progres Niederkorn
0.0%
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